PS4: 21 million sold by the of 2014? The statistics No.

[JustBeingReal]

colafitte said:

Mummelmann said:
21 million will likely require a ~6 million selling December, the Wii had one insane week above 1.4 million in 2007 but was nowhere near 6 million for December. 21 million is a really, really tough sell.

You expect PS4 at 15m before December??. PS4 already passed 15m before Black Friday week. PS4 will be more close to 17m than 15m....and this is even with VGC numbers that are probably undertracking PS4.

Exactly, I mean for the dates when Sony announced PS4 had officially sold well over 10M units VGChartz only has it at 9.9M, so it could easily still be under-tracked by 300K by that time alone. There are questionable tracks for when Driveclub came out, with another 2 new releases that week. Destiny and the White model release seem a bit low too IMO.

COD AW week only has a marginal increase from the week before, with the game selling a million more than the XB1, yet the numbers of hardware sales don't reflect that increase.

IMO 15.5M by the 15th of this month is probably be much bang on, with over 17M being likely by Black Friday, so it's nowhere near 6 million sales in a month, more like 3.8M or somewhere around that, unless at Black Friday week it sells 1.5M then we could be looking at 17.5M.

 

21M is very likely IMO, at the least well over 20M.