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Ninsect said:

18m is 100% certain at this point.

15m before BF week, 16m after BF week. Then another ~600k+ puts it at 16.6m around the PS Experience in early Dec. Add another ~800k the week after and we're at 17.4m+. The week before Christmas week will be huge with 1m+, which puts PS4 at 18.4m++ and then Christmas week itself should be close to 1m as well, putting PS4 at 19.4m+ with one week remaining of the year, where PS4 should sell around 400k putting it very close to 20m.

Remember to quote me at the end of the year!

Also keep in mind we know these numbers to be undertracked still by 300k min