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Intrinsic said:

I am not sure of just how well sales carries over into the first 2 weeks of december when compared to mid november sales.But my stimates were based on me being conservative. We sem to be in agreement that the PS4 could sell 3.4M-3.5M in december alone. For that to happen sales will have to look like I predicted +/- 100k respectively. If the PS4 has 2 1M weeks in december then it will definately go over 4M sold for that month as I don't expect it to do anything less than 500k in any week in December.

If that happens then we are looking at potentially over 20M sales by the end of 2014. Thats just crazy. Not impossible, but even I can't be that optimistic. 

By the end of November the PS4 should comfortably be around 16M. Add a potential 4M plus change to that from december and we have 20M+ consoles sold. I can't even type that without flinching.

I'm not sure there will be two 1 million weeks, but one 1 million is quite likely or in the very least a high 900K week.

December might be something like 650K, 750K, 900K, 1M and new years week 400-500K. If we just take the 4 full December weeks that's 3.3M If we count the new years week as December then that puts it up to about 3.8. For the purposes of actual 2014 sales up to 1 Jan only, about 1/3 of new year week sales are likely to be before 2015 so 3.4/3.5M of actual sales in December.

4M is pretty much impossible without that 5th 1/2 week and for early Dec to be in the >800K range per week. That's a big ask.



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