Is the 360 in trouble?

[omgwtfbbq]

SpartanFX said:

TheRealMafoo said:

Darc Requiem said:

TheRealMafoo said:

Darc Requiem said:

Rock_on_2008 said:

^Both PSX and PS2 sold over 100 million in their console generations. PS3 will definitely sell over 100 million hardware when its finished in 8 years time.

 

Okay, I am starting to get a CrazzyMan vibe from you. You are seriously delusional. Using you logic we'd all still be playing Atari systems right now. The PS3 isn't selling over 88 million units in the next 79 months.

I don't think so ether, but the PS3 is tracking the PS2 in sales from launch, so there is nothing yet to indicate that it won't.

No it isn't. The only place the PS3 is tracking near the PS2 is Europe. The PS3 is will behind the PS2 in Japanese and North American sales at this point.

 http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=X360®1=All&cons2=PS3®2=All&cons3=PS2®3=All&weeks=95

The PS2 does take a huge jump in a few months, so Sony will have to do something soon if it wants to keep on the curve (like a price drop), but it's holding it's own well. I understand the timed releases effect that chart, but as of today, the PS3 is selling on par with the PS2 this far in it's life. That can not be disputed.

Now, will it take off and spike like the PS2 did a few more months in it's life? Who knows (I am going to guess no), but we don't need to debate it, we can just wait a few months and see what happens :) 

Wow ,,didn't know PS3 tracks so close to PS2,,,I hope PS3 can have the jump in few months as well to stay close to PS3.

Erm, unless Christmas gets rescheduled to June this year, PS3 is not going to catch up to PS2. That big spike you see there is the PS2's first full Christmas season.

The only reason PS3 is still on par with PS2 is because of timing:

Firstly, the PS3 kept on par with PS2 because the PS2 had only been released in Japan, whereas the PS3 had been released in Japan + America. The PS3 then released in Europe and took the lead, barely, over the PS2 which was at the time only released in one region. That spike around week  38 was I believe the NA release of the PS2, where finally the PS2 was selling in more than one region. As you can see, the PS2 clearly outsold the PS3. I believe Christmas was around that point as well, but PS2 was heavily supply constrained (similar to the PS3's first Chrstmas)

Then of course, the PS3 had it's second Christmas around week 53, easily outselling the PS2 which was around March at that point. After that it's selling the same pace in its second year as the PS2 was selling in its first year (consoles traditionally sell faster in their second year), and of course will soon be blown away as the PS2 hits its first real Christmas with full availability.

If you try to use this graph as some sort of evidence that the PS3 is tracking along with the PS2, you're sadly mistaken. The PS2 will only get further and further out of reach.