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Mr Khan said:
curl-6 said:

Announcing the next system at E3 2015 would be a huge mistake; their remaining loyalists would feel backstabbed, and hardware sales would plummet between then and release.

It would be late 90s Sega all over again.

Next handheld, not really. E3 2015 would be 4 years post-launch and 5 years from when the 3DS was actually announced, more time than the Game Boy Advance got. 

I'm with Soundwave on most of this. March/April 2016 launch for the next handheld, the home TV version of that handheld in holiday 2016 because there's little chance or reason for Nintendo to push Wii U past 2016 in the state it's in (likely the holiday '15 wave will be the last big wave of software, with a few scraps in early 2016).

You seem to have forgotten that the New 3DS exists. It's effectively the successor, will be announced next year in the west, and will extend the 3DS lifespan in the same way that the Game Boy Color extended the Game Boy's lifespan. I could see a true successor being released in 2018, but the New 3DS will need some time on the market. Unless it flops worse than Wii U, which it shouldn't, even in the US. Short of a catastrophe happening, Nintendo would be an idiot to release a handheld successor in 2016.