That all looks pretty fair to me.
I do have to say though, I think Denver is now pretty banged up, and KC is getting hotter once more, so that could flip on us. I don't doubt that PM is a wizard, but he's been awfully human lately. I think his tendency to throw ducks is sometimes hurting that team. Imagine how scary PM would be with cannon power.
As I see it, Denver has dominated their wins normally by the pick-your-poison high output offense, and the ground and passing games have complimented each other by forcing defenses to not stack the box. Now that there are a host of injuries along with PM not playing at as high a level, they're suddenly looking vulnerable. I do still think they can get it back together and become a powerhouse again, but I'm not fully confident they'll do it in time. It has to be said that STL is truly not as bad as their record indicates though, many of their Ls were gutsy back and forths with solid opponents.
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