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thx1139 said:

With SKUs out of stock currently this isnt a good gauge.  Also it is looking more and more likely that the new PS4 bundles will be BF weekend only.  While Sony is releasing those SKUs for the weekend MS is working with retailers giving even lower prices and extra bundling for the weekend.  Think it is even more likely that the X1 will take November NPD.

To borrow from MS PR: It doesn't matter if sony has the sales for 24 hrs only. They could be the fastest selling console in that time frame.

Seriously though, I think BF will decide this. I still believe XB1 will take november, but its no longer by as large a margin as I thought it would be. Though the PS4 could just surprise us, it seemd to have been doing just that all year.