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benji232 said:

100k overtracked isn't bad at all when you consider that it's merely 4-5% off. It's pretty much spot on.

Why do so many people say things like this?  Being within a few percentage points of an LTD isn't impressive when you have previous data points on it.  Take a hypothetical system that had a known LTD of 100m at the end of 2013.  I estimate 4 million sales for 2014, but it actually sells 1 million.  You don't look at the 104m vs 101m and say I was within 3%.  That base 100m was already a known quantity.  You look at the portion that was unknown (1m vs 4m), so my estimate would have been 300% off.