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360 can't be in trouble if it's doing better thsn before. it's just not got as much momentum as the others. and every year we'll probably see it drift away from demand much quicker than the rest of the consoles. so i think third place is a given for the 360 in my opinion. the line up is as good as the ps3 this year, but that's probably a bad thing, considering last year it was much much much better than the ps3's and yet it only shifted 400,000 more consoles (according to vgc), and that was all probably because of halo 3.

i think that the fact that a "demo" is selling like hot cakes on the ps3 will probably indicate how games and hardware will shift with the ps3. most of the 360 games will only appeal to the core user base in my opinion. lost odyssey, blue dragon, bioshock, and mass effect are good examples. all stellar games, but not system sellers. i doubt ninja gaiden and fable will change that situation.