I don't disagree about the location of the sales, but the numbers over all world wide are the same, and we are 8 months in. Systems are selling much faster this gen if you add up all three systems, and it is very unlikely that PS3 will surpass the other two. We should be able to tell for real in the next couple months as games become available that people really want to play. Ninja Gaiden Sigma, Lair, and the Cross Platform games come out for '08. Remember a large group of gamers only play sports games and first-tier marketed titles. The Playstation brand is still strong.
You'll see in the chart that I added the sales really picked up around week 30, I don't think there will be a great increase that early, but I think it will reach 70%.
Remember in 2000 alone you had many more EA titles released including NCAA football and basketball, Unreal Tounament, Tekken Tag, NASCAR in america and several other Japanese Hits. None of us can say for sure what will happen when the other games start showing up on Discount Department Store shelves, but I think that by the end of the year the major exclusives like Lair, Heavenly Sword, Warhawk, and Ratchet and Clank along with non-exclusive system sellers COD-Modern Warfare, the EA NCAA's, more Clancy Games, Assasin's Creed, etc. With MGS4 probably hitting Japan as an exclusive for some time.
Will PS3 be as big as PS2, probably not. Is it holding it's own by last gens standards yes.
My point in the first post was that PS3 price drop would be good for PS3, but the PS3 isn't really doing that bad for hardware.
This chart is also interesting. And I want to remind everyone that I am a Nintendo Fanboy expressing that PS3 will come in at a close 2nd to 3rd by end of 2008.
I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.
