Mummelmann said:
RacerXGT said:
Mummelmann said:
Xevross said:
I reckon PS4 will be at just over 40m shipped by March 2016, so no Wii should easily be the first to 50.
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Thinking in much the same way, 40-43 million shipped max by the end of March 2016. The Wii had a 24.5 million sellthrough in its second CY and was supply constrained for almost two entire years, there's just no way the PS4 can beat that. That said; regardless of a slower pace in all likelihood; the end result should be much the same given a much flatter sales curve for the PS4 in comparison.
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Really why.
Is the hardware to complex and expensive to build and ship so many, nope. Is the line up of games lacking in 2015 to sale that much, nope. Is a price cut out of the question in 2015, nope. There really is no great reason why it cant.
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Simple market realities; the Wii had an appeal and target audience that purchase hot items in droves and had a near perfect hardware/software synergy in Wii Sports and Wii Fit to draw in these casual customers. Core consumers are more long-term and steady but not as explosive. Do you think the PS4 will manage 24-26 million or so next year? Is it likely?
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How about market realities like 70ish % marlet share in some places, between the 3 consoles. Is it not just a matter of how much % world wide console sales are PS4s ? Wiiu sales are dismall and X1 is only putting up a fight in two markets. If PS4 continues taking the lions share of the overall sales in a about 90% of the world markets. id say around 20million sales are a given.
Of course success depands muvh on the exclusive line up for all 2015 and it be nice if PD surprised us and managed to release GT7 next year.
