Which will occur first? X1 pass WiiU or Ps4 50% marketshare?

[DonFerrari]

Sentient_Nebula said:
Actually, looking at some new info, it seems that the Wii U is slightly overtracked, and the PS4 slightly undertracked.

This would swing the race massively in favor of the PS4, unless the Xbox One is also undertracked.

WiiU is overtracked, should be 6.9M at the end of September or like 7.1M right now (based on shipment figures)

PS4 is undertracked by like 500k, should be between 12-12.5M end of September and 13-14M right now (giving big gap because channel stuffing isn't certain, just shipments at September being 13.5M is so having 15M shipped by October end is reasonable. And PS4 should be at 13.5M this week instead of the VGC numbers)

X1 is probably severely undertracked (some would expect even 1M), shipments seems to be 7.5M for September and like 8M+ for October (so sales should be 6.2M at September and 6.6M+ this month)

So gaps for November are in best case for PS4 7.1+6.6-14 = 0 (seriously doubt it) or worst case 7.1+7-13 =1.1M (also quite unlike) but 600k is quite reasonable..... for X1 best case 7.1-7= 0.1 (really small chance) or worst case 7.1-6.6= 0.5M (likely).

The race will be close.