PlayStation Plus Reaches 7.9 Milllion Subscribers/PS4 Chinese Launch Early Next Year

[Ninsect]

JayWood2010 said:

Ninsect said:

15m early next year, as in Jan, Feb or March or so. That's not a 100% increase btw (89%) and not 3 months either (4-6). Shortly after PS4 launched PS+ subscriptions jumped by 90%. With all the MP games and huge sales this holiday I don't see why it couldn't jump another almost 90% in a longer timeframe (4-6 months vs. 1.5 months last year)

I was rounding up though i guess i should have said "about 100%".  So in 4-6 months then?   How much would you assume PS4 will have sold by then?  Right now we are spreading 7.9m with 3 devices, PS4, PSV, and PS3.  Its obvious the main driving factor right now is paid online for PS4 though so it would really be dependent upon PS4's attach ratio with PS+,  If we are expecing 15m that would be 7m.  And id say PS4 will easily sell 7m in 4-6m, probably more.  Lets hypothetically say PS4 has sold 20m by the end of december (not my prediction).  That would mean that PS4 will sell 7m from this point.  You would need a 100% attach rate of PS+ for it to achieve 15m.  Though that is only 2 months the next 2 moths after that will be considerably less than the November/December

Though i could be wrong id be surprised if it managed 7m new subscribers without losing any on top of that (whether bundled or paid for) in a matter of 4 months.

You are not counting the PS4 owners who haven't jumped in yet, which is a considerable number. PS4 should easily sell 8m+ in the next 4 months, PS3 and PSV will sell a few other millions. Combine the new subscribers with the ones who will jump in or renew their membership when big MP games like CoD come out and 15m is easily achievable.