@Sentient - That's a pretty fair analysis. I'd agree mostly.
The X Factor will be Black Friday. XO has the price cut, but PS4 is still in front - and may still be more desired - especially as - even if it's more expensive than the One on Black Friday, when it's not just about CHEAPER but SAVINGS.
But then if Halo MCC is the return to form/upgrade inspiring system seller to the huge 360 base MS hope it to be, things could play out differently.
That's it. Halo MCC - Black Friday - culminating in a kind of Black Friday stalemate, like some South Park / GOT mash up three part episode. Truly, I'm munching on Black Friday popcorn aww already - November is going to be a VERY interesting month.