The only figure that can be relied upon in this thread (and every other related thread this morning) is the shipped figure from Nintendo.
Everything else is a estimate. The VGC sold to consumers figure is an estimate, and will no doubt be subject to change, since it is above the Nintendo shipped figure. The amounts by which various people are claiming that it's 'overtracked' by, and the number of consoles that are lying around on retailers' shelves, are also estimates, and nothing more.







