WiiU Vs. XB1: Do you still think WiiU will win, if so why?

[Dunban67]

McGilliguts said:

If Nintendo scraps the gamepad and launches a slim version at $149 with Mario kart and mario 3d world pack-ins, I think they will get 2nd place. This should be quite doable considering the cheapness of the hardware. So my bet is on Nintendo at this point.

Also, I expect xbone to crash hard next year.

So you think Nintendo will do that?  What makes you think that?  When wil it happen (aprox)?