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Seece on 26 October 2014
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Normchacho said:
Seece said:
Normchacho said:

Do you mean not about to happen as to say that your prediction is about to happen? Because it's not. It'll take years for Xbox to close that gap even in the best case scenario.

End of 2016 more than likely, and that is the most realistic scenario not the best.


The Xbox One has a little more than a million console advantage over the WiiU so far this year...Lets say the Xbox has a great rest of the year and pulls out a 3 million gap by the end of the year. How does a console go from selling 3 million more than a competitor one year to beating it by an average of 7 million over 2 years?

 

Edit: Note that these are using your sales/shipped numbers. Things get worse just going sales to sales.

mmm and why is that?

Shipped is ultimately sold and it's as good a benchmark as any so I'll continue with it.

The gap is 16.72m. (IMO) 360 will finish at 92m LTD, (2014 87m, 2015 90m, 2016 91.5m, 2017 onwards 92m, so another 8m shipped).

Given Wii is about done, it has 500k to 1m left in it, max.

This means by end of 2016 gap decreases to 11.5m~

XB1 will outship WiU next Q (Just like it has every other Q).

Really it's only XB1 outshipping WiiU 5m a year. Given there is an obvious ceiling for WiiU shipments each year, it won't be difficult.