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Devilstation said:
I think xbox360 will easily win. I don't think Wii will outsell x360 2:1 when gtaIV is released.

 Problems with that reasoning include:

 

-ignoring Mario Kart Wii

-ignoring Wii Fit

-ignoring the Wii's much larger average rate of sales

-ignoring GTAIV's status as multiplatform

 

There are more. Point is, there are quite a few variables, and it's pretty bad to assume that you can guarantee anything based onjust one, when all the other variables argue the other point. Additionally, we've still got seventeen weeks - four months - before the 360 will pass GCN at the current rate of sales. Given that both systems will increase when the aforementioned games are released, it obviously won't take quite that long. However, since the Wii has a higher production rate, and Nintendo is surely working on ensuring enough consoles to be available for Mario Kart, and even more, Wii Fit, we can guarantee that it will surely put up a mighty fight.

 I would estimate that, with these two major apps being released so soon,  Wii will surpass GCN in ten or eleven weeks.

 Meanwhile, I estimate that 360 will do the same in fourteen or fifteen.



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