Hedra42 said:
Bolded statement and comparisons are irrelevant for predictions because of inconsistent number of days of sale, how big the user base was before the bundles came out, and in one case, which gen it was. I could argue that in its first month of sale, Nintendoland's attach rate was 79%, but that would be ridiculous. But for the hell of it - Mario Kart did 400k on a 2.4m userbase (17%) in just 2 days. First month from release date: 1.9/6/6 - 29%. Super Mario 3D world did 240k on a userbase of 4.2m, (14%) in 9 days. First month from release date: 552k/2m - 25%. Titanfall did 1.1m on a 2.5 install base (over 40%) in 18 days. First month from release date: 948k/2.6 - 37%. Halo 3 did 2.4m on a userbase of 6.4 (37%) in 5 days. First month from release date: 3.2/6.8 - 47%
Not as bad as you claim. |
This is all so hilarious because, actually, it is your sums that are irrelevent. We're talking NPD November here. Those are the sales they did on the userbase by the end of November NPD. So what they did the following month has no bearing on this thread.
Smash will also get around 9 days, so you apply the attach rates I came up with to see how it'll fare in November ... NPD.