| Seece said: XB1 figure too low, XB1 will have about 1m in the channel by the end of the year, and these figures suggest you think they'll ship 2.5m~ this Q. They just shipped 1.8m~ 360 shipments in Q4 were never less than double Q3. |
This isn't about shipments though. Shipments depend on what the console market wants/expect to sell, previous manufacturing contracts, possible overstuffing since it's the holidays and then slowing down the next quarter, etc.
This is about sell-through.
platformmaster918 said:
Don't they almost always sell more in their second holiday if they're a popular console though? 4m in 1 and 1/2 months before now it will do 6m in 3 months? |
It's truth that consoles sell more their second holiday than their first, but remember that most consoles also suffer from severe manufacturing problems their first holiday, it wasn't as bad with the PS4/XONE which is why they had unprecedented launchs. However I think PS4 selling 6M on the holidays is a given, maybe more.
| Seece said:
Nah it's fine, if you wanna believe it's gonna do similar results in Q4 so be it, you'll be wrong though. |
Of course MS knows what they intent to ship better than anyone, they call ship whatever they want to some extent (limited by manufacturing capacity, storage, retailers will to take units, etc). The problem is what they'll manage to actually sell to customers, if their LTD by Dec 31, 2014 is over 10M I would be extremely surprised.
