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I've heard that GT5 content will be available as a download or reduced price for Prologue owners, so I wouldn't be worried about that aspect...especially since the full version probably won't be out this year.

The Prologue is a fairly full game now with car tuning and extra cars in it. It's very well priced at $40.

As for me, I'm going to rent it and assume my save will carry over to GT5. I've never played a GT game and don't buy many games anyway, so to me this is the perfect rental.