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Are we talking about shipped numbers or sold to customer?

Only the second one matters.
I pretty much doubt the X1 sold already more than the WiiU
You can ship all you want - Sold to customers is the only important one.
But though it could happen this Holiday if Smash isn't doing what it should be doing.
As Seece said in the Xbox Thread "We could see 12+ Million shipped end of this year" - As long as they don't sell that it doesn't maaatter.
You could ship a 100 Million Units if you only sold about 5-6 Million of them =)