Is it possible for PS4 to cross 17 million mark by 2014

[prinz_valium]

Aphelion said:

prinz_valium said:
17m is the sweet spot


ps4 sold 4.2m in 2013
oct - dec sales are generally 50% of ytd (xbox and wii got bigger Holiday quarter than playstation historically)
jan - sept 2014 ytd for ps4 is about 7 - 7.5m ( Japan Launch, supply issues and a big September)

so lets go for 40 - 45% as oct - dec sales or 6m



17m is not out of reach. but ps4 can fail that Goal. both is possible

You are not taking into account PS4 is the console of choice, as was the wii and to an extent 360 in NA.  Seems you are basing your PS4 estimates by PS3 numbers, not the best way to do it as their places in the market are quite different.  

PS4 barring shortages will get the biggest holidays bump world wide and in NA.

its not about the console of choice its about the killer apps.

halo was always holiday (one game was september all other november realse)

wii was always casual and kids machine what got the huge holiday bumps.

 

maybe it will affect the ps4 % bumps this gen.

maybe not so much.

 

 

we will knew that after the first 2 holiday seasons

but as i said. we need to take the japan launch and supply issues into account. that made the fist quarter numbers bigger.

why should that units add up for the holiday season as the usual 50%?  thats the reason, i cut off 1m sales ;)

 

if u talk about us only:

ps 4 ytd is at 2.5m with that extraordinary september

thats why i put the npd numbers for the us short of 2.5m for oct - dec