I say no, it will close but achieving or even surpraising is difficult, the reasons are:
1.Sony at that time is still king on electronic industry, they still have the unlimited fund on marketing and advertising
2.Japan is still relevant on consoles number
3.DVD (casual ) help so much with sales,(early sales)
4.Dreamcast is failed in their second year thus help the games exclusivity and sales for people who want to buy a console.
5.Xbox coming late and Game cube is not a big threat to PS2
6.Overall, console gaming is on their prime time of success.








