Is it possible for PS4 to cross 17 million mark by 2014

[binary solo]

vivster said:

binary solo said:

But you're still posting as if 16 million is a fairly unlikely prospect, when in fact 16 million is highly likely. So while 15 million might not be your max what you're writing indicates that 15.X million is your effective max because you think higher than that is not ver realistic. But I'm saying 16 million really represents a fairly modest achievement for holiday sales in the context of how PS4 has sold Jan-Sept. 4.6 million for the holiday period for a console selling as well as PS4 up to now is really more like a minimum expectation, not a maximum. Supply issues won't stop holiday sales from reacing as high as 6 million, but beyond 6 million you are probably going to start to see supply problems. So there's nothing on the supply side that could prevent PS4 from surpassing 16 million.

Actually I do not have a real prediction for it. I'll just wait and see how well it will do. So when I say that it will be quite a feat, I'm not saying that I didn't expect it but that I like that it got that far.

I haven't done the numbers but at that moment in time 17m looked very out of reach and 15m feasible. 16 would be a good middleground. Everything above is bonus.

And yes, I'm aware that all I just said sounds like backpaddling as if I try to damage control a flawed prediction^^ But I really don't have a stake in the PS4 sales so I think I will be pleasantly surprised by anything above 15.

I do however have a stake in X1 but I'm fairly certain that I will win that bet so I'm not worried much about sales these holidays.

Fair enough. 16 millioon is a good achievement for sure, but at this point above 16 million shouldn't be a "pleasent surprise". Back in June you could have said it would be a pleasent suprise. But when something is reasonably expected, as 16 million is now it should really not come as a surprise if it actually happens.

There is a Xb one holiday sales thread? That would be interesting to look at because I'm having a harder time getting a sense of where I think Xb one will land. There are more unknown quantities with that I think. There are things that could make Xb one sell very well, or they could have very little effect. And with XB one we don;t know if MS is going to do things with price. With PS4 things are far more predictable IMO.