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thismeintiel on 15 October 2014
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super6646 said:
Aerys said:
wary-wallaroo said:

Exactly. They are going to face major contractions in the US and UK, and their install base in Europe and ROW is going to basically dissappear. It's why I don't see it hitting 50 million. At best it'll do 40 million lifetime.


Same prediction, 40M X1, 20M Wii U, 120M PS4 ( the gamers wont disappear, they'll just go on to ps4

My predictions say 70M for xbox one 100M for ps4 and 25M for wii U (sorry wii U but its true).

I have seen others predict 70M-80M for the One, but I just don't see it ever happening.  With the fight the PS4 is giving it in the US, the 360 will MAYBE be able to reach 30M, or ~14M less than what the 360 is right now.  Same goes for UK, so ~5M, or ~4M less than where the 360 is at right now.  It'll be lucky to reach 500K in Japan, ~1.2M less than the 360.  And with the One pretty much dead throughout the rest of EU, it'll be lucky to hit 10M outside of the UK.  This puts us at ~45.5M, so ~48M-50M WW when we factor in ROW.  Where exactly is that extra ~20M-30M in sales coming from?