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It really depends on how well the PSTV does in the west. Handhelds have been struggling in the west while doing well in Japan. However, PSTV isn't a handheld while at the same time, is technically a Vita. It'll be interesting to see if consumers are very attracted to its $99 entry price and its Remote Play abilities.

If the PSTV significantly increases the Vita's baseline, then the Vita will hit 10M first.