Forza won't do well either, but it should still do better than a game that's free with PS+ in terms of retail sales, which are all we'll get in terms of numbers.
Worldwide, I'd put money on DC selling more if you include digital sales, and maybe later on we can figure that out by trying to find active player counts.
But basically anyone with PS+ will check out the free version and from there, it's 1,000x easier to just purchase activation of the full game rather than leave, drive to the store, come home, uninstall the PS+ version, install the retail version, etc.
So the only customers for retail DC will be
(A)- Impulse buyers
(B)- People with slow internet, but still have some kind of connection that works with PS+ (eg; 768k to 1.5mbit kind of connections) .. because DC is online-dependent as a title.
IOW, this might be one of the highest % digitally sold games of all time vs. retail version, maybe something like 90/10 or higher.
FH2 has not been charting well, I think a lot of X1 owners already are satisfied with FM5, which was heavily bundled and has a more established pedigree for serious racing fans (just like GT sales will absolutely obliterate DC sales), and those fans will mostly wait for FM6 for their next racing game. MCC will be the next huge X1 seller, though it remains to be seen if it will be a substantial system seller. DC is not a system seller, neither is FH2.
I think the strongest system sellers this fall will be multiplats that look great on both systems, honestly.
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