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If XBox One gets totally trounced by the PS4 and declines largely from the 360, Microsoft will call it quits from dedicated gaming hardware and will take Halo and make it a multiplat brand like Minecraft. That said I think MS' future target will be Steam ... they will aim to make XBox Live an all-purpose Steam like service with streaming games as well.

Nintendo will kinda "cheat" this question, they will stop making traditional home consoles after Wii U, but Fusion will still have a home variant for people who simply prefer to play on a big screen TV with a controller (or want to play their handheld games at home and on the go) in the form of a micro-console (ala Vita TV).

Sony will make a traditional PS5, but even they are eying a back door exit from the business eventually with PS Now. The thing is I think Microsoft may have the last laugh here, as I think their online service will trump Sony's.