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drake_tolu on 24 September 2014
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Welfare said:
drake_tolu said:

Wii U have sold last year 1.1m on December, and 500K on November, and 200K on October for a total of 1.8m last Q4.

Wii U have sold 1.8m now, so, you think that by now, Wii U will sell EQUAL by last year?

Wii U will probabily sell 300,000-350,000 on October, 700,000-800,000 on November, and above 2m on December, for a total of 3m for rest of year, so yes.

If you think that is impossible: Wii U in 2013 have sold in Q4 more than in Q1+Q2+Q3, ineed 1.8m in Q4 and 1.4m in rest of year for a total of 3.2m.

And even this year, Q4>Q3+Q2+Q1

Wii U will sell minimum 10,000,000 by end of year. Even PS4 and XO will probabily sell this Q4 more tha Q1+Q2+Q3...

Also, only because the Wii and GC peak was the second year, does not mean, i think that the Wii U peak will be the third year thanks a massive price drop, and the SSBU effect continued for first month of 2015 (like MK8 effect was lasted 3-4 month)

There is nothing in October for the Wii U to sell 300k-350k. If anything, it'll do 200k-250k in October. I can agree with November somewhat, but I think the range will be 600k-700k. December is around 1.2m-1.5m.

Any price drop in 2015 will not be that effective, as the PS4 will be eating up sales, and the Xbox One will most likely get some price drop, decreasing the significance of a Wii U price drop.

Smash's effect will be ate up through the Holidays. The baseline in January-March will probably be a 5k-10k incease from this year. (40k-50k) When there are fewer 3rd party titles to keep droughts from happening in 2015, the Wii U will be hitting so many lows that any increase will just be negated.

200,000 is too low, is little more than last year.

250,000 is the minimum, and 350,000 is possible.

December only 100K-400K more than last year?

In my honestly opinion, the minimum is the 2012 number (1.7m), Wii U will probabily sell 500K only the week before chrismas. (350K last year).

Also, i think that on jenuary the Wii U basis will be above 60K-65K.