Prediction: Wii U Won't Make to the 21m

[drake_tolu]

Welfare said:

drake_tolu said:

2012: 2.2m (2.2)
2013: 3.2m (5.4)
2014: 5.1m (10.5)
2015: 7.2m (17.7m)
2016: 6.1m (23.8m)
2017: 4.8m (28.6m)
2018 resaled new hardware: 2.7m (31.3m)

After 2018, other 2-3m, 2020 will be dismission.

What? The Wii U has not even done 2 million YTD, and you expect it to do over 3 million in the next 4 months?

Then 2015, why would sales be that much better compared to 2014? Nothing that year has anything that can be deemed a bigger system seller than MK8 and Smash, besides a price drop. 2015 at most will equal 2014.

Why do you think the Wii U will last 6 years before a succesor is released? The Wii lasted that long, and that was the best selling Nintendo console. The worst selling isn't lasting 6 years. If anything, the succesor will be released in 2016/17.

2012: 2.2m [2.2m]
2013: 3.2m [5.4m]
2014: 3.6m [9.0m]
2015: 3.1m [12.1m]
2015: 2.3m [14.4m]
2016: 1.2m [15.6m]
2017 (New HW): .8m [16.4m]
2018 Onwards: .5m [16.9m]

Wii U have sold last year 1.1m on December, and 500K on November, and 200K on October for a total of 1.8m last Q4.

Wii U have sold 1.8m now, so, you think that by now, Wii U will sell EQUAL by last year?

Wii U will probabily sell 300,000-350,000 on October, 700,000-800,000 on November, and above 2m on December, for a total of 3m for rest of year, so yes.

If you think that is impossible: Wii U in 2013 have sold in Q4 more than in Q1+Q2+Q3, ineed 1.8m in Q4 and 1.4m in rest of year for a total of 3.2m.

And even this year, Q4>Q3+Q2+Q1

Wii U will sell minimum 10,000,000 by end of year. Even PS4 and XO will probabily sell this Q4 more tha Q1+Q2+Q3...

Also, only because the Wii and GC peak was the second year, does not mean, i think that the Wii U peak will be the third year thanks a massive price drop, and the SSBU effect continued for first month of 2015 (like MK8 effect was lasted 3-4 month)