Prediction: Wii U Won't Make to the 21m

[drake_tolu]

Seece said:

About what most people expect. Nintendo consoles always peak in their third year (3DS amazingly peaked in its first year in the US).

2012: 2.2m~
2013: 3.2m~
2014: 4m~
2015: 4m~ (less system selling software but price cut)
2015: 2m
2016: 1m
2017 Onwards: 1m~

17m~ total.

We have no signs it will do anything above 25m. Calls of 35m and 40m are silly, it'd need to start doing 8m a year now.

2012: 2.2m~
2013: 3.2m~
2014: 10m
2015: 10m
2016: 6m
2017: 3m
2018 onwards: 2m

36m total. How unrealistic does that projection look given sales up to this day? It means doing 4m+~ in the US. That is more than what it has done LTD (22 months~)

And no, it is not likely WiiU will go beyond a 3rd year peak. I will have to research but I don't think any Nintendo home console has managed that? Only PS3 and 360 broke the mould.

2012: 2.2m (2.2)
2013: 3.2m (5.4)
2014: 5.1m (10.5)
2015: 7.2m (17.7m)
2016: 6.1m (23.8m)
2017: 4.8m (28.6m)
2018 resaled new hardware: 2.7m (31.3m)

After 2018, other 2-3m, 2020 will be dismission.