Prediction: Wii U Won't Make to the 21m

[Seece]

tak13 said:

Seece said:

About what most people expect. Nintendo consoles always peak in their third year (3DS amazingly peaked in its first year in the US).

2012: 2.2m~
2013: 3.2m~
2014: 4m~
2015: 4m~ (less system selling software but price cut)
2015: 2m
2016: 1m
2017 Onwards: 1m~

17m~ total.

We have no signs it will do anything above 25m. Calls of 35m and 40m are silly, it'd need to start doing 8m a year now.

2012: 2.2m~
2013: 3.2m~
2014: 10m
2015: 10m
2016: 6m
2017: 3m
2018 onwards: 2m

36m total. How unrealistic does that projection look given sales up to this day? It means doing 4m+~ in the US. That is more than what it has done LTD (22 months~)

And no, it is not likely WiiU will go beyond a 3rd year peak. I will have to research but I don't think any Nintendo home console has managed that? Only PS3 and 360 broke the mould.

you constantly call fool ,silly etc people and their predictions that you dont like,come on use other words.I m finding your prediction too low,i never used insultive words ;)!it s too early for certain predictions,but you make them!i m sure that back in 2007 you were making low predictions for ps3.I will never understand why you don t try to be cautious!36m predictions are about to remain the same,be reduced or increased,lets wait for 2015 and price cuts!no one can be sure...neither those who predict low nor those who predict high!you said third year is the peak year!the third year is 2015,why you predict same sales with 2014...:O :/

Excuse me? I said predictions of 35m are silly, because they are. Didn't insult anyone so stop making stuff up.

Back in 2007 PS3 was selling better than WiiU is now, at $500. But even then people could see PS3 had a an audience to target and that has been my argument all along. (as it is with XB1). WiiU does NOT have an audience to target. The casuals will never be interested because it's not the IT product of its time, it's not accessible like the Wii and mobiles and tablets have that mindshare. And as for core, it has no third party.

In 2008 when PS3 started getting its big games, it saw huge gains. We're not seeing the same for WiiU. Stop comparing them. Look at my projection above. 10m a year for WiiU is silly and isn't happening.