| TheLastStarFighter said: A price drop for Wii U is assured, I'm doubtful for One or 4. FFXV may not make 2015. I think it will be a new high for Wii U with a lower price and lots of games. Kart and Smash carry-over will help early in the year, and then there is a steady stream of releases. I think Splatoon and MarioMaker will be surprise hits while Xenoblade and Zelda will lure a lot of core gamers along with the price cut. I think we'll see about 10 million sold. One and 4 are a bit tougher to predict just yet. It really depends on if One gains back some momentum in NA this fall. if so, we could see both sharing about 20-25 million in global sales. If 4 dominates then One is done, and 4 will take a commanding market share. The second half sales of 2014 will project into 2015 for these two. |
Exactly, my price points were made on my belief that this holiday season will see the PS4 still dominating sales.
If at the start of 2015 the the PS4 is at 16-18M and the XB1 is at 8-10M, and then the PS4 keeps building momentum right at the start of 2015 and the XB1 doesn't; MS wouldn't really have a choice but to slash the price. They are already offering soft price drops with teh Madden bundle and SO upcoming bundle. You pay $400 but get a free new game. Next step is always usually to make an offical price cut even if its by $50. And I expect that price drop to happen at or around E3 next year if not sooner.
As for the PS4, yes they won't need to have a price drop... but that will only be based on what effect a price drop for XB1 has. If the XB1 baseline increases by about 30-50% post price drop and the PS4s remains the same then sony will drop their price around the fall season. If the baseline only sees a short boost and goes back to what it is now then sony wouldn't bother. And even sony has said that they are more intrested in quickly gaining market share than making a profit on individual consoles sold.
