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prinz_valium said:
CosmicSex said:
prinz_valium said:
CosmicSex said:

That is an excellent calc. 90k is the absolute minimum it could have sold all formats. So if the split was once again 46% for ps4 that is 41k on ps4 and 29k for PS4 hardware.  

Now this is where things get interesting because we had PS4 estimated at 32k last week.  So thst would be a very small drop. 

why? its not the absolute minimum

its the absolute maximum

cuz we know it was the 14. biggest realse of all time

 

We know it the absolute minimum because we know that Destiny was the biggest launch for a new IP in the UK.  VGChartz shows that Watch_Dogs, the previous champion, sold 411k across all formats during launch, so, we know that if this site is correct, the first week of sales in UK could not have been below 411k.

If Destiny had a 78% drop across all formats then the very minimum it coiuld have sold would be:

28% of 411k or 90k.  It absolutely cannot be lower than that if we go by the UK data on this site. 


go to the last pal chart on neogaf

only call of duty, fifa and battelfield had bigger launch

 

and the biggest battelfield launch was ~413k

thats how we got our 412k maximum number for week one ;)

Do they have numbers for Watch_Dogs?  Is this site accurate?  Obviously you see my issue here.  

Oh yeah, and if 412k is the maximum, 411k could still be the minimum if the Warch_Dog numbers are accurate... I'm gussing not.  

Obviously, we are seeing how difficult it is to make an accurate calculation with innaccurate information.  How do you guys operate in this enviorment with so much uncertain data lol.