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I think PS4 is going to really widen the gap next year. This year they will probably come away with 65% market share, but next year I see 75% as a low end expectation.

I think the biggest winner for Sony is going to be the OTT IPTV service for PS4. This will turn PS4 into the true all in one device, and allow people to drop their cable box. The US alone has over 160M cable boxes, a huge potential market if done right. If Sony sets up a contract plan for PS4 something like $200 up front and $49.99 a month for the first year, I think they could move a couple million units a month all year.

Then on the gaming side of things, I see PS Now getting its subscrption model up and working along with the addition of PS1 and PS2 classics. PS Now will Expand to Sony Phones, and eventually start to pop up on 3rd party devices (ex. Samsung, LG, ect.).

SCEWWS will roll out major titles. We already know the 2015 is kicking off with BloodBorne, and The Order 1886. MLB The Show will see its first year built from the ground up on PS4. We know Uncharted is coming, and I expect to hear about The Last Gaurdian, and GT7 with Driveclub getting it time to shine. Santa Monica should be ready to show off God of War or Whatever their next project is. We also know Ratchet and Clank is coming next year along with Tear Away PS4.

Project Mopheus will get its final name and be released next fall.

Major announcement. Sony will Partener with Actvision for COD and it will be a marquis title for Morpheus. GT7 will also show heavy support for Morpheus.

All of the above along with a continued unification of Sony TV's, Phones, Tablets, and Network services PS4 will pull in consumers at a massiverate. MS will try to counter with more integration of the windows devices, but I think the momentum of PS4 coming out of this year will have an iPhone like effect on anything they do, even if they actually deliver better options than Sony, it will be over looked. To round it out, Nintendo will be the same wildcard the have been. They have the games to sell well next year from a pure Nintendo stand point, but is it enough? I am guessing they will sell similar to this year, and that will be the last year of sales at the current level.

2015 Totals (Jan - Dec)
PS4 - 28M
XBO - 5M
WiiU - 4.5M



Stop hate, let others live the life they were given. Everyone has their problems, and no one should have to feel ashamed for the way they were born. Be proud of who you are, encourage others to be proud of themselves. Learn, research, absorb everything around you. Nothing is meaningless, a purpose is placed on everything no matter how you perceive it. Discover how to love, and share that love with everything that you encounter. Help make existence a beautiful thing.

Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010 

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