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For once, you make an interesting thread.

Difficult to say, SSB will say if Wii U will go beyond PS4 first year sales
Wii sold 1,5M this year, in the best case, you can add 2,5M sales from the months coming ( in the best case i said), since Wii U will be supported until 2017 and since 2014 was probably the best Wii U year and maybe 2015 too with price cut, let's say it will sell 4M each year from now in the best case, Wii U would reach 22M in 2017.

 

It will be close



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m