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Aura7541 said:
Welfare said:
Aura7541 said:

If we see a similar drop in Tier 2 countries to that in Japan, then yeah, the baseline will not get that much of a boost at all.

Xbox has always done terrible in Japan, so a drop that huge (84.8%) is not likely in these new countries. If they did however, that is an extra 4.5k per week in Europe.

I think a increase of 11k to the baseline is more likely. (A drop of 63%)

That's waayy too high. The X1 doesn't have many selling points in those countries to justify a purchase, not to mention, it didn't have a good launch in those Tier 2 countries either. Baseline will only be boosted by about 5k.

I should clarify, I was talking about when it launches in all the European countries this month, thought I got rid of the % in that sentence. Isn't the One going to be in 18 different European countries? That's ~600 for each country every week. That is probably going to be close to Japan's baseline, so it seems likely.



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287