Analysts predict next-gen sales (dozens of predictions from past 2 years)

[Bodhesatva]

misterd said:

ckmlb said:

DonWii said:
How are you sure it wont?

I'm not, but you shouldn't be it will either.

 

Has there ever been a case where a console did reverse its fortunes after the launch window closed? Companies have improved or worsened their lot when switching to a new generation, but within the lifespan of a single console, I don't know of any that were on top and collapsed, or were stuggling and then found an audience.

Precisely zero times.

However, we do seem some less extreme examples. Consoles that were doing pretty well ended up beating consoles that were, at first, doing very well; consoles doing poorly ended up beating consoles that were initially doing moderately well, and so forth.

But as for extremes? No. No console getting beat 2:1 (or more) out of the gate has ever come back. Not once, and none have even made it remotely close. However, I think we can all agree that this generation IS a tad different, with Nintendo going in a different direction. That different direction is one of their strengths, to be sure, but it also gives some leeway for discussion of possible lead changes. A switch would be historically unprecedented, but historically unprecedented doesn't mean impossible -- just unlikely. This industry is only 35 years old, after all.