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Did a single rational human being in the world expect the One to do anything at all in Japan? I sure hope not. The One will do quite well in the West once it gets its gears (pun intended) going, it has outsold the U by about 50% for some time in the US, once the games start rolling in it doesn't take a genius to figure out that there is growth potential.
I hope no one will ever attempt to predict the One's destiny (another intended one) by using Japan numbers, let's not forget how tragically the 360 sold over there in the 7th gen, that didn't stop it from doing well elsewhere. And let's also not forget that no one is doing brilliantly in Japan this gen...