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I think the old Halo (1-3)/Bungie fans with a 360 (and no new console) will be an important factor.

Will they:
1) buy a PS4 for the best version of Destiny?
2) buy a X1 for Destiny and Halo: MCC?
3) buy Destiny on 360 and wait how Halo 5 turns out before they decide about their next console?