Will PS4 at the end of its second year match PS3 at the end of its 3rd year?

[platformmaster918]

Arkaign said:

platformmaster918 said:

According to this site, PS3 at the end of 2008 had sold 19.3m units.  PS4 is currently at just over 10m (already passed PS3 at the END of 2007) so could it have a monster holiday and get a full YEAR ahead of its predecessor in terms of total units?

I'll give it a decent 20% chance

It's beyond 100%.

In a few months, it got to 10M, well ahead of 1 year.

Two full years will be November 2015, by which time it should be far closer to 30M than 20M.

In fact, if you count 2014 to Dec 31st, then by the end of 2014 should be within 10% or less of the 19.3M you're talking about.

No I'm asking if PS4 can reach >19.3m by the end of 2014, its second year's end because it took PS3 till the end of its 3rd year to reach that number.