I'd love this analysis to be less guess work, but unfortunately VGChartz doesn't have detailed enough numbers for "other" regions. Anyway....
First of all, in the Americas as of June 30th VGChartz had it around 2.95 million (a guesstimate, we don't have numbers for south America so I just took a 120k out of "other" and put it on my guesstimate North America total of 2.83 million for June 28th) vs. the 3.08 Nintendo has shipped. That leaves about 130k on shelves, remove the extra 100k that VGChartz has for the US and we have around 230k on shelves in the Americas. A good number.
Next we have Japan, which is correct so I'm not going to go over it.
Next, Europe+Other non America regions, which has a total of around 1.84 million sold according VGChartz and my guesstimate using other regions. This is where I think VGChartz is really overtracking. According to Nintendo they only shipped 1.73 million here. So I imagine it should be closer to 1.6 million sold.
Basically I think VGChartz is overtracking the Wii U by 250-300k as of June 30th (depending on if I got my guess work right or not), about 200k of that is in Europe+Other non America regions and about a 100k in the US.
Bets:
1. If the Wii U sells closer to 10 million LTD by 1/3/2015 I win. If it sells closer to 9.5 million LTD by 1/3/2015 OfficerRaichu15 wins (winner gets 2 weeks of avatar control)--Lost.







