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If my math is right it would have to match both the WiiU and Xbox1 then sell an additional 2mil on top of that to have 50% market share. i too see it at 18 mil ltd by jan 1 2015 so that would mean 6 mil in any combinatioon of WiiU/Xbox1 sales.... i just have a feeling Xbox1 will have a good holiday in 'merica so my vote is no