padib said:
Yakuzaice said:
| padib said:
Let me calculate.
At 150k weekly, we have 4 months so 16 weeks. 2.4m. Okay let's add 500m for holiday boost so 3m.
PS4 will be at 13m and U will be at 11m. I believe the U will outpace the PS4 by 1 mil from Sept to Dec due to holiday and Smash spike.
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First of all there are more than 16 weeks left between the current VGC numbers and the end of the year. Second, you think there will be no hardware sales increase for the releases of PS4 software. Third, your expectation for the holiday boost is absurdly small (unless you actually meant 500m). The PS3 in 2007 did 2.9m in the six week period starting the week of Black Friday 2007. If you go back to August 25th, it did ~4.6m in the period that you expected the PS4 to do 2m, and now expect it to do 3m. Also I like how your Wii U prediction also went up by a million just because your original PS4 prediction was ridiculous.
I was considering replying to your late bloomer thread, but I have to assume you are just trolling with these numbers.
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If I were trolling I would have said 500m.
I will bet with DD_west we will see in time who is right. The PS4 might not follow the PS3 trends, because it may have been front-loaded. Destiny will sure be big but it's coming out on X1 as well.
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Dude, its taken the Wii U 2 years to get to 7 million and you think it would sell 4 million in 4 months?
really?
the PS4 sold 10million+ consoles in 9 months and you think it will only sell 3 million with Destiny in SEptember and the holiday season around the corner?
how the hell do you come up with these predictions?
