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Teeqoz on 31 August 2014
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BraLoD said:
small44 said:

Pc will always be more powerfull then console too like every gen.

Which data say this gen will only last 5 or 6 years?

I think the fact that many 3rd party release cross-gen is a sign that 3rd party won't longer gen.

Not every games will sold like Destiny so many third party will have less revenue then before because of budget skyrocket ,game developing with get more expensive but with longer gen it will slow down it a bit.

I don't say it can't happen that this gen will be short but i don't see enough proof to believe that


Nothing say this, as nothing says the opposite too, but the older data we have are, after the 3rd gen, which is what lead to what gaming is now is:

3rd generation started in 1983
4th generation started in 1887
5th generation started in 1993
6th generation started in 1998
7th generation started in 2005

So the years between the gens are 4, 6, 5, 7, respectively, BUT that don't represent the actual scenarios of the 3 gaming brands we have now + Sega, the four really relevant brands this market had after the 3rd gen, some other company consoles as Atari, 3DO and PC-engine hold some of those numbers.

Nintendo released the NES in 1983 at the very same day Sega released the SG-1000, both in Japan. But the later was quickly replaced by newer models until the Mark 3/Master System finally took steam and put Sega really in the console market, in 1985.

So let's consider Nintendo started the 3rd gen with the NES in 1983.

The next consoles from one of these 4 was the Mega Drive/Genesis by Sega, and was released in 1988.
What leaves us with 5 years from the start of the 3rd gen to the start of the 4th gen.

Then the next console from one of those 4 was the Sega Saturn, released in 1994 and the Sony PlayStation, too in 1994.
What leaves us with 6 years from the start of the 4th gen to the start of the 5th gen.

Then again, the next console from one of those 4 was the Sega DreamCast, released in 1998.
What leaves us with 4 years from the start of the 5th gen to the start of the 6th gen.
Then the next console from one of those 4 was the Microsoft XBOX 360, released in 2005. What would leaves us with 7 years this time, but the Sega DreamCast was discontinued quickly as Sega jumped off from the consoles market, which leaves us with the Sony PlayStation 2, released in 2000 as the older full 6th gen console.
And now if you want to really disconsider the DreamCast you can claim that the 5th to 6th gen gap was 6 years.
What leaves us with 5 years from the start of the 6th gen to the start of the 7th gen.

So that would be a gap of 5, 6, 6, 5 years respectively until the last gen. And that's a hint of how long gens usually are.


that logic is like saying that the 7th gen wasn't that long because the Wii U  released in 2012. That's seven years, which is only one year of the highest of your numbers. Why would you remove the Dreamcast just because it was discontinued? Is it just because it furthers your argument? Let's look at something more logical, the difference beetween console gens per company.  PS1 to PS2 was 6 years, PS2 to PS3 was 6 years (seven for worldwide launch), PS3 to PS4 was  8 years. That leaves us with 6, 6 and 8 years or 6, 7 and 7 years depending on which one you choose. You can't use data from the 1980s to prove what will happen around 2020.