Everyone saying that I'm "silly", or a "fanboy", how do you go about predicting sales for a game?
Do you use previous game sales as a basis? Do you use install base? What do you use? Or do you just pull numbers out of your rear, and hope for the best.
So sue me for using past games sales, to predict a future trend. Will it happen? Who knows, but my prediction came off of the previous games in the series.
It's fine if someone says that FFXIII or MGS4 won't do well, because the previous entries have been "losing popularity", but god forbid I say the same for as huge of a game [in Japan] as Monster Hunter.
If anyone can give me a good way to predict sales without using install base and/or previous game sales, then I'd be more than open to change my prediction, but until then, I'll stick with my prediction of sticking to previous game sales to predict future game sales.
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