Stever89 said:
Ail said:
To reach 50% marketshare by the end of the year the Wii would need to consistently week over week get over 55% of each week marketshare for the rest of the year... This has never happened this year, the highest marketshare Wii had a single week was on 2/10/08 with 54.3% marketshare. In the latest pick in that chart the Wii didn't even have 50% marketshare... Lets say the PS3 keep selling at an average of 175k/week and the Xbox360 at 140k/week for the rest of the year. The Wii would need to sell 500k units/week for the next 35 weeks to reach 50% marketshare. That is what the maths tell you which is what makes most of the posts in this thread saying the Wii will be at 50% marketshare before the end of year so funny and clueless... |
Yeah that's why I said that it was unlikely that it would be able to do so. I think it'll get close. So far, this year, it's managed a 46% marketshare, so I think it's likely it'll get close to 47% or so, and then probably early next year it'll hit 50%. @montana: yeah I think 200k a week during normal weeks would be about right, which is about double what it's averaging right about now. Link. |
One think you don't take into account is the fact that selling 46% marketshare this year is different from reaching 46% marketshare LTD because you have to take into account all the consoles already sold.....
The longer Wii stays around 44-44.5% overall marketshare ( which selling 46% this year would do) the harder it will be to reach lifetime 50%..........
PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !
PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !
