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prinz_valium said:

as u said. games with incredible legs and great baselaselines dont have that big hoiliday and new version boosts.

 

the game is at ~ 30m so far

 

lets say it will do ~15m a year for the next 3 years(including a huge holiday and next gen boosts, without a slowdown for last gen )

the game would be at 75m units

so still 7m behind wii sports

 

if it will do 13m each year for the next 4 years (still a huge number, i would doubt fore sure, because last gen sales will slow down and be near zero after holiday 2016, or even earlier) it only would reach wii sports

 

 

this game wont do over 10m units each year for the next 5 years on consoles only. no way. just no

the only way to surpass wii sports is, if this game will still be a big thing in 8 years. it has to become tetris


I never said that games with a high baselinecand good legs didn't get a holiday boost, I only said I hadn't taken it in account, because I have no idea how large it will be. The 200k baseline per week, doesn't even take in account digital sales on consoles, and since it's always on top on PSN and XBL, that could be a possible 100k extra per week. + boost from next gen, so another 50k per week. That leaves us at 350k per week = 18,2 million, plus another 2 million for christmas boost. So it could do 20 million this year on PC and consoles alone.