Prediction: Xbox One Will Have a 10 Million Lead over Wii U by the. End of 2015

[eva01beserk]

teigaga said:

eva01beserk said:

Absolutly Agreed. 

Toastboy, did you see gamescon? What makes you think the x1 will sell well next year since for almost 10 months they will only have one big exclusive? And please dont say third party multyplats.

Did you know that nintendo is going to release one exclusive a month for the entire year? Not sure if they are big games, but anything is better than nothing.

I perdict the x1 selling 8m by years end and around 13m by end of 2015.

The wii U will sell 10m by years end and around 17m by the end od 2015.

Next year will be the worst year for the x1 and this one does not look to good. All 3 of them will get a pricecut tnext year so the impact on selling more then anyother will be canceled.

But 3rd Party Multiplats! lol

People's basis that they wont sell Xbox hardware is based on cross gen releases which really shouldn't have an effect on next gen hardware and hasn't bar watchdogs (58% PS4, 27% Xbox One). Did the xbox360 and PS3 sell 80m because of PS2 and Xbox1 titles? Our only reference says that big generation exclusive software sells hardware respective to that generation even if one console is favoured more then the other.

Please someone explain to me why this won't apply this time round. Its not like the Xbox Doesn't have exclusives coming up and both systems are similarly priced, its simply ilogical to think everyone is automatically gonna side with Playstation. Especially when none of their IPs don't as much power as Halo in the North America. It will only take a small increase for Xbox to outpace Wii U. The reason why we haven't seen this yet is because not a single big 3rd party next gen exclusive has been release in the 9months since the PS4/XO Launch, but there are dozens on the way. (Assassins Creed Unity, Witcher 3, Evolve, Batman Arkham Knight in the next 6months). Infact most releases in 2015 are next exclusives, which why the PS4 will probably sell 15m-20m  and the Xbox will sell at least half of that.

If you've seen 2015 line up of games, including Xbox Exclusives you really have no reason to believe Xbox Sales will be down YOY which is what your forecast predicts.

Also the effect of Pikmin, Donkey Kong, Wonderful 101 and Sonic on wii U sales in the last 9months, tells you how valuable Nintendo's exclusives are when they are not Mario, Zelda or Pokemon. 

Cros gen seems to only be afecting the x1 aparantly since the ps4 is flying of shelves.  I highly doubt the x1 will sell a third of the ps4's numbers.

I know multyplats are very important to allconsoles. But if the ps4 next year has almost all the games the x1 has except for 3, but the ps4 still has like 10 the x1 does not, people will take notice and keep choossing the ps4. You might think that releasing a bunch of little games wont help but they appeal to somebody.

Another thing that you are probably tired of hearing is that the more ps4 sells, the more likely their friends of the owners will get a ps4 to play together and since a lot of them are 360 owners that jumped ships, well thats not going to be good for x1.

Also tired of hearing the ps4's hardware supiriority so the x1 should not cost the same as the ps4. O and all 3 will get a pricecut next year so that will not influence anyone to choose the x1.

Nintendo might not be selling right now due to the hypetrain the ps4 vs x1 war has had for over ayear. Any game nintendo released got overshodowed by everything else and people where waiting for the next big thing and fighting the console war and just ignored nintendo. But all that is over now and the hype is gone and nintendo went back into the light as x1 crashed and burned after loosing the war. Another thing is that unlike xbox games that sell all they are going to sell in the first month, nintendo games sell for years with every new console purchase so all those big hitters will come back in the holidays and theoff season next year.